JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Sugar House

Retention AI

Sugar House · Salt Lake City, UT

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

19%

6-month

4%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

110

High Risk

39

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

35

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$58,885

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

39

High Risk

35% of members

35

Medium Risk

32% of members

36

Low Risk

33% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
59%13/22 · $29,256
12-Class Monthly
75%24/32 · $41,400
8-Class Monthly
63%20/32 · $22,320
4-Class Monthly
71%17/24 · $13,128

Member Risk Table

110 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Jessica Lee

8-class monthly

9260d ago1↓ 5$1,128/yr

Churn Risk

92%

Annual Value

$1,128

Member Since

40d

No-Show Rate

91.7%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency37%
Frequency drop30%
No-show rate20%
Membership tenure9%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

2

Jennifer Lewis

4-class monthly

8944d ago0↓ 6$684/yr

Churn Risk

89%

Annual Value

$684

Member Since

105d

No-Show Rate

81.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate18%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

3

Charlotte Taylor

unlimited

8833d ago0↓ 4$2,340/yr

Churn Risk

88%

Annual Value

$2,340

Member Since

36d

No-Show Rate

94.1%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency37%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure9%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

4

Sophia Taylor

12-class monthly

8765d ago0↓ 4$1,740/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$1,740

Member Since

220d

No-Show Rate

96.4%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate22%
Membership tenure3%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

5

Megan Jones

8-class monthly

8754d ago0↓ 8$1,092/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$1,092

Member Since

304d

No-Show Rate

88.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

6

Brittany Flores

8-class monthly

8661d ago1↓ 7$1,056/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$1,056

Member Since

321d

No-Show Rate

87.4%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

7

Amelia Hall

8-class monthly

8661d ago0↓ 8$1,056/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$1,056

Member Since

283d

No-Show Rate

86.0%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

8

Amanda Harris

4-class monthly

8643d ago1↓ 7$780/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$780

Member Since

719d

No-Show Rate

83.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

9

Camille Williams

12-class monthly

8534d ago0↓ 4$1,716/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,716

Member Since

74d

No-Show Rate

82.1%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

10

Priya Walker

12-class monthly

8541d ago1↓ 7$1,668/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,668

Member Since

102d

No-Show Rate

74.1%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate18%
Membership tenure7%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

11

Emily Young

unlimited

8449d ago1↓ 6$2,112/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$2,112

Member Since

528d

No-Show Rate

99.2%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tenure2%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

12

Rachel Allen

8-class monthly

8461d ago0↓ 4$1,116/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,116

Member Since

44d

No-Show Rate

50.3%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate12%
Membership tenure10%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

13

Brittany Wilson

12-class monthly

8445d ago1↓ 6$1,812/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,812

Member Since

711d

No-Show Rate

91.2%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

14

Sarah Clark

8-class monthly

8446d ago0↓ 5$1,020/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,020

Member Since

514d

No-Show Rate

81.5%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

15

Ashley Green

8-class monthly

8328d ago1↓ 6$1,224/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,224

Member Since

658d

No-Show Rate

98.3%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency37%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate24%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

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Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

12

Total at Risk

$58,885

Annual Revenue Protected

$17,666

by retaining 12 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly