JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Union Market

Retention AI

Union Market · Washington, DC

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

57%

6-month

32%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

218

High Risk

34

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

48

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$56,988

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

34

High Risk

16% of members

48

Medium Risk

22% of members

136

Low Risk

62% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
39%24/62 · $53,472
12-Class Monthly
30%16/54 · $27,720
8-Class Monthly
36%16/45 · $18,168
4-Class Monthly
46%26/57 · $20,208

Member Risk Table

218 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Ashley King

4-class monthly

9252d ago1↓ 5$852/yr

Churn Risk

92%

Annual Value

$852

Member Since

78d

No-Show Rate

93.7%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency37%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate20%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

2

Lauren Torres

8-class monthly

9049d ago1↓ 4$1,224/yr

Churn Risk

90%

Annual Value

$1,224

Member Since

37d

No-Show Rate

85.0%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop30%
No-show rate19%
Membership tenure9%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

3

Sophia Hall

4-class monthly

9062d ago0↓ 7$780/yr

Churn Risk

90%

Annual Value

$780

Member Since

199d

No-Show Rate

96.8%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

4

Emily Allen

4-class monthly

8854d ago1↓ 5$720/yr

Churn Risk

88%

Annual Value

$720

Member Since

705d

No-Show Rate

98.3%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

5

Olivia Robinson

8-class monthly

8853d ago0↓ 8$1,080/yr

Churn Risk

88%

Annual Value

$1,080

Member Since

33d

No-Show Rate

71.6%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate16%
Membership tenure9%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

6

Morgan Hill

8-class monthly

8626d ago1↓ 7$1,164/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$1,164

Member Since

103d

No-Show Rate

97.3%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency34%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate23%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

7

Natalie Hill

4-class monthly

8655d ago0↓ 4$732/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$732

Member Since

92d

No-Show Rate

65.8%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate15%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

8

Ashley Hill

4-class monthly

8547d ago0↓ 4$768/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$768

Member Since

279d

No-Show Rate

73.3%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate17%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

9

Brittany Moore

unlimited

8534d ago1↓ 5$2,136/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$2,136

Member Since

95d

No-Show Rate

86.6%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tenure7%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

10

Ashley Robinson

4-class monthly

8437d ago0↓ 8$840/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$840

Member Since

181d

No-Show Rate

72.5%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate17%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

11

Jennifer Anderson

12-class monthly

8451d ago1↓ 7$1,632/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,632

Member Since

71d

No-Show Rate

70.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate17%
Membership tenure7%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

12

Amelia Anderson

unlimited

8455d ago0↓ 7$2,196/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$2,196

Member Since

277d

No-Show Rate

87.7%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

13

Kate Moore

8-class monthly

8460d ago1↓ 7$1,116/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,116

Member Since

475d

No-Show Rate

80.8%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

14

Emily Garcia

4-class monthly

8341d ago1↓ 3$756/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$756

Member Since

384d

No-Show Rate

83.8%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

15

Lauren Williams

12-class monthly

8355d ago0↓ 5$1,824/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,824

Member Since

647d

No-Show Rate

84.3%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

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Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

10

Total at Risk

$56,988

Annual Revenue Protected

$17,096

by retaining 10 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly