JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Research Triangle Park

Retention AI

Research Triangle Park · Durham, NC

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

50%

6-month

25%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

75

High Risk

17

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

17

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$24,919

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

17

High Risk

23% of members

17

Medium Risk

23% of members

41

Low Risk

55% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
33%6/18 · $13,404
12-Class Monthly
47%8/17 · $14,088
8-Class Monthly
48%10/21 · $11,256
4-Class Monthly
53%10/19 · $8,088

Member Risk Table

75 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Ava Allen

4-class monthly

8640d ago1↓ 4$708/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$708

Member Since

487d

No-Show Rate

90.3%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

2

Rebecca Torres

4-class monthly

8663d ago1↓ 5$780/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$780

Member Since

544d

No-Show Rate

85.3%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

3

Megan Hill

12-class monthly

8662d ago0↓ 7$1,764/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$1,764

Member Since

231d

No-Show Rate

91.5%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

4

Natalie Jackson

8-class monthly

8533d ago1↓ 6$1,260/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,260

Member Since

537d

No-Show Rate

97.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

5

Ava Taylor

12-class monthly

8538d ago0↓ 4$1,812/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,812

Member Since

608d

No-Show Rate

99.3%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

6

Rebecca Garcia

4-class monthly

8565d ago1↓ 6$852/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$852

Member Since

197d

No-Show Rate

73.9%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate17%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

7

Megan Garcia

12-class monthly

8545d ago0↓ 6$1,740/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,740

Member Since

333d

No-Show Rate

89.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

8

Diana Torres

12-class monthly

8536d ago0↓ 4$1,836/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,836

Member Since

162d

No-Show Rate

93.0%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate22%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

9

Rachel Young

8-class monthly

8536d ago0↓ 6$1,104/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,104

Member Since

241d

No-Show Rate

84.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

10

Peyton Robinson

unlimited

8336d ago1↓ 6$2,232/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$2,232

Member Since

520d

No-Show Rate

95.8%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate23%
Membership tenure2%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

11

Megan Martinez

4-class monthly

8249d ago0↓ 6$828/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$828

Member Since

141d

No-Show Rate

60.7%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate15%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

12

Ava King

8-class monthly

8234d ago1↓ 7$1,080/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$1,080

Member Since

425d

No-Show Rate

81.2%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

13

Charlotte Taylor

4-class monthly

8222d ago1↓ 5$816/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$816

Member Since

324d

No-Show Rate

95.9%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Frequency drop34%
Visit recency33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

14

Sarah Green

4-class monthly

8152d ago0↓ 5$840/yr

Churn Risk

81%

Annual Value

$840

Member Since

558d

No-Show Rate

59.8%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop35%
No-show rate15%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

15

Morgan Martin

unlimited

7754d ago1↓ 3$2,280/yr

Churn Risk

77%

Annual Value

$2,280

Member Since

239d

No-Show Rate

68.7%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency44%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate18%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

Showing 115 of 75
1 / 5

Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

5

Total at Risk

$24,919

Annual Revenue Protected

$7,476

by retaining 5 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly