JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Lake Norman

Retention AI

Lake Norman · Huntersville, NC

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

51%

6-month

26%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

105

High Risk

23

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

23

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$33,355

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

23

High Risk

22% of members

23

Medium Risk

22% of members

59

Low Risk

56% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
36%8/22 · $17,364
12-Class Monthly
50%14/28 · $24,084
8-Class Monthly
46%12/26 · $13,908
4-Class Monthly
41%12/29 · $9,852

Member Risk Table

105 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Olivia Wright

4-class monthly

8939d ago0↓ 6$720/yr

Churn Risk

89%

Annual Value

$720

Member Since

344d

No-Show Rate

93.2%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

2

Jennifer Garcia

4-class monthly

8737d ago1↓ 5$768/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$768

Member Since

270d

No-Show Rate

85.5%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

3

Jordan Thomas

4-class monthly

8655d ago0↓ 4$828/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$828

Member Since

641d

No-Show Rate

88.2%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

4

Emily Robinson

8-class monthly

8642d ago1↓ 5$1,044/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$1,044

Member Since

654d

No-Show Rate

91.7%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

5

Lauren King

4-class monthly

8651d ago0↓ 5$816/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$816

Member Since

119d

No-Show Rate

63.4%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate15%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

6

Natalie Jackson

4-class monthly

8643d ago1↓ 7$852/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$852

Member Since

379d

No-Show Rate

83.3%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

7

Ava Harris

8-class monthly

8549d ago0↓ 6$1,092/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,092

Member Since

649d

No-Show Rate

89.1%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

8

Charlotte Clark

8-class monthly

8438d ago0↓ 5$1,236/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,236

Member Since

352d

No-Show Rate

79.5%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

9

Emily Martin

12-class monthly

8441d ago0↓ 6$1,656/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,656

Member Since

429d

No-Show Rate

90.4%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

10

Amanda Wright

unlimited

8456d ago1↓ 4$2,208/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$2,208

Member Since

236d

No-Show Rate

92.1%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate22%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

11

Nicole Flores

12-class monthly

8340d ago1↓ 4$1,812/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,812

Member Since

481d

No-Show Rate

91.1%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

12

Ava Nguyen

4-class monthly

8360d ago0↓ 8$864/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$864

Member Since

573d

No-Show Rate

69.2%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate17%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

13

Sarah Harris

8-class monthly

8345d ago1↓ 7$1,068/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,068

Member Since

260d

No-Show Rate

67.8%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate16%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

14

Ava Hill

12-class monthly

8241d ago0↓ 4$1,788/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$1,788

Member Since

181d

No-Show Rate

76.0%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate18%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

15

Jordan Thomas

unlimited

8235d ago1↓ 7$2,208/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$2,208

Member Since

685d

No-Show Rate

92.2%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate23%
Membership tenure2%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

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Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

7

Total at Risk

$33,355

Annual Revenue Protected

$10,007

by retaining 7 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly