JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Downtown Raleigh

Retention AI

Downtown Raleigh · Raleigh, NC

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

54%

6-month

29%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

100

High Risk

21

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

22

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$33,393

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

21

High Risk

21% of members

22

Medium Risk

22% of members

57

Low Risk

57% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
45%9/20 · $19,788
12-Class Monthly
55%12/22 · $20,628
8-Class Monthly
43%12/28 · $13,644
4-Class Monthly
33%10/30 · $7,572

Member Risk Table

100 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Sarah Robinson

12-class monthly

8948d ago1↓ 6$1,692/yr

Churn Risk

89%

Annual Value

$1,692

Member Since

74d

No-Show Rate

95.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate22%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

2

Michelle Torres

4-class monthly

8861d ago1↓ 3$744/yr

Churn Risk

88%

Annual Value

$744

Member Since

194d

No-Show Rate

99.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop29%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

3

Sarah Flores

4-class monthly

8636d ago0↓ 5$672/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$672

Member Since

92d

No-Show Rate

72.0%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate17%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

4

Natalie Garcia

4-class monthly

8546d ago1↓ 5$756/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$756

Member Since

427d

No-Show Rate

82.8%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

5

Megan Taylor

unlimited

8554d ago1↓ 4$2,244/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$2,244

Member Since

276d

No-Show Rate

98.6%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate23%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

6

Diana Thomas

8-class monthly

8531d ago1↓ 5$1,152/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,152

Member Since

482d

No-Show Rate

97.6%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

7

Jessica Robinson

8-class monthly

8440d ago1↓ 4$1,056/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,056

Member Since

582d

No-Show Rate

85.0%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

8

Taylor Taylor

8-class monthly

8364d ago1↓ 5$1,224/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,224

Member Since

434d

No-Show Rate

79.5%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate19%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

9

Rachel Walker

unlimited

8343d ago0↓ 8$2,136/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$2,136

Member Since

467d

No-Show Rate

93.5%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate22%
Membership tenure2%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

10

Rebecca Moore

12-class monthly

8353d ago0↓ 6$1,644/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,644

Member Since

698d

No-Show Rate

84.0%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

11

Ava Brown

8-class monthly

8248d ago0↓ 6$1,200/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$1,200

Member Since

225d

No-Show Rate

65.7%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate16%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

12

Morgan Williams

unlimited

8255d ago0↓ 5$2,160/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$2,160

Member Since

684d

No-Show Rate

85.2%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure2%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

13

Amanda Johnson

unlimited

8252d ago0↓ 5$2,304/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$2,304

Member Since

100d

No-Show Rate

64.5%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate16%
Membership tenure7%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

14

Jennifer King

8-class monthly

8054d ago1↓ 5$1,056/yr

Churn Risk

80%

Annual Value

$1,056

Member Since

248d

No-Show Rate

57.0%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency43%
Frequency drop35%
No-show rate14%
Membership tier5%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

15

Natalie Scott

unlimited

8029d ago1↓ 6$2,232/yr

Churn Risk

80%

Annual Value

$2,232

Member Since

141d

No-Show Rate

86.2%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop35%
No-show rate21%
Membership tenure4%
Membership tier1%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

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Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

6

Total at Risk

$33,393

Annual Revenue Protected

$10,018

by retaining 6 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly