JetSet Modern Pilates
Member Retention Intelligence|Merrick Park

Retention AI

Merrick Park · Coral Gables, FL

Cohort Retention

% of members still active N months after joining

64%

6-month

41%

12-month

Cohort curves projected from live churn rate · each line = a quarterly member cohort

Members Analyzed

332

High Risk

46

immediate action needed

Medium Risk

73

monitor closely

Revenue at Risk

$79,550

annual exposure

Member Risk Distribution

46

High Risk

14% of members

73

Medium Risk

22% of members

213

Low Risk

64% of members

At-Risk by Membership Tier

Unlimited
32%26/81 · $57,684
12-Class Monthly
40%37/92 · $64,992
8-Class Monthly
38%30/80 · $34,320
4-Class Monthly
33%26/79 · $19,716

Member Risk Table

332 members · sorted by churn probability

#MemberRiskLast VisitVisits 30dAnnual Value
1

Michelle Taylor

4-class monthly

9059d ago0↓ 4$660/yr

Churn Risk

90%

Annual Value

$660

Member Since

104d

No-Show Rate

87.8%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate19%
Membership tenure6%
Membership tier6%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

2

Rebecca Johnson

8-class monthly

8736d ago0↓ 4$1,092/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$1,092

Member Since

279d

No-Show Rate

96.9%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

3

Amelia Robinson

8-class monthly

8744d ago0↓ 8$1,116/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$1,116

Member Since

218d

No-Show Rate

91.1%

Risk Factors

  • !30+ day lapse in attendance
  • !Visited only once in past 45 days
  • !Classpass usage replacing membership

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

4

Olivia Wilson

8-class monthly

8740d ago1↓ 7$1,092/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$1,092

Member Since

683d

No-Show Rate

98.8%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

5

Olivia Lewis

4-class monthly

8738d ago1↓ 4$756/yr

Churn Risk

87%

Annual Value

$756

Member Since

674d

No-Show Rate

95.0%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop31%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

6

Kate Green

4-class monthly

8639d ago1↓ 3$744/yr

Churn Risk

86%

Annual Value

$744

Member Since

339d

No-Show Rate

93.0%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency39%
Frequency drop30%
No-show rate22%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure3%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

7

Ava Wright

12-class monthly

8552d ago1↓ 5$1,848/yr

Churn Risk

85%

Annual Value

$1,848

Member Since

425d

No-Show Rate

96.1%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency40%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate23%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

8

Jennifer Williams

8-class monthly

8431d ago1↓ 5$1,152/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$1,152

Member Since

313d

No-Show Rate

89.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier4%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

9

Jessica Green

4-class monthly

8459d ago1↓ 4$684/yr

Churn Risk

84%

Annual Value

$684

Member Since

131d

No-Show Rate

74.5%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop32%
No-show rate18%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

10

Priya Williams

4-class monthly

8342d ago0↓ 8$684/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$684

Member Since

689d

No-Show Rate

71.1%

Risk Factors

  • !Membership renewal approaching
  • !Long absence streak
  • !Booking activity stopped

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate17%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Have their favorite instructor reach out directly with a come-back incentive

11

Riley Young

4-class monthly

8326d ago1↓ 7$876/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$876

Member Since

292d

No-Show Rate

85.7%

Risk Factors

  • !No visits in 30+ days
  • !Monthly frequency down sharply
  • !Multiple no-shows recorded

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency36%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate21%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure4%

Suggested Action

Immediate personal outreach — call from studio lead with a complimentary drop-in offer

12

Priya Robinson

4-class monthly

8353d ago1↓ 4$828/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$828

Member Since

464d

No-Show Rate

73.5%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency41%
Frequency drop33%
No-show rate18%
Membership tier6%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Trigger an automated re-engagement sequence with a limited-time comeback discount

13

Stephanie Garcia

8-class monthly

8346d ago1↓ 5$1,068/yr

Churn Risk

83%

Annual Value

$1,068

Member Since

115d

No-Show Rate

55.6%

Risk Factors

  • !Last-minute cancellations increasing
  • !Weekly cadence broken for 5+ weeks
  • !Engagement metrics at lowest point

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate13%
Membership tenure7%
Membership tier4%

Suggested Action

Offer a 1-week pause on their membership to buy time; follow up with a check-in call

14

Michelle Nguyen

12-class monthly

8229d ago0↓ 5$1,776/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$1,776

Member Since

50d

No-Show Rate

66.7%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency38%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate16%
Membership tenure10%
Membership tier2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

15

Peyton Walker

12-class monthly

8240d ago1↓ 5$1,680/yr

Churn Risk

82%

Annual Value

$1,680

Member Since

479d

No-Show Rate

83.5%

Risk Factors

  • !46-day absence from studio
  • !Visits dropped from 6/month to 0
  • !100% no-show rate this month

Model Feature Weights

Visit recency42%
Frequency drop34%
No-show rate20%
Membership tier2%
Membership tenure2%

Suggested Action

Send personalized win-back text within 48 hours, offer a free class before renewal

Showing 115 of 332
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Retention ROI Calculator

Estimate how much annual revenue you can protect by retaining at-risk members.

% of high-risk members retained30%
5%80%

Members Saved

14

Total at Risk

$79,550

Annual Revenue Protected

$23,865

by retaining 14 members at 30%

JetSet Retention AI · Model AUC 0.841 · Predictions regenerate weekly